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Reuters

Stocks and bonds rally after August CPI matches forecasts as September Fed hike odds rise to 82%

AI Market Summary
August U.S. CPI matched expectations (0.4% m/m; 3.4% y/y), but core CPI was firmer (0.3% m/m vs 0.2% expected), keeping inflation "sticky". Markets repriced Fed policy, lifting the implied probability of a September hike to ~82% and shifting focus to forward guidance. The dollar index was broadly flat, while cross-asset moves reflected rate-sensitivity and energy-driven inflation risk.
Impact level
● High
Affected assets
NCSIDXY2USD/USDT+0.16%
AI Insight · NCSIDXY2USD/USDTAI Insight
● Neutral
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U.S. consumer inflation rose 3.4% year-on-year in August and increased 0.4% from July, both in line with market expectations. Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, slightly above the 0.2% forecast, while the core rate eased to 2.4% year-on-year. After the data, markets lifted the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase in September to 82%.