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Traders Plan to Ship Brazilian Arabica to ICE Warehouses as Certified Stocks Hit 26-Year Low

AI Market Summary
Traders plan to move sizable volumes of Brazilian arabica into ICE warehouses to rebuild certified stocks that have fallen to a 26-year low. Olam and Louis Dreyfus reportedly target certification of up to 200,000 bags for December delivery, with shipments to Antwerp rising. Near-term prices remain supported by tight exchange inventories and harvest delays from extreme weather, even as 2026/27 surplus forecasts loom.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
NCCOCOFFEE2USD/USDT-1.19%
AI Insight · NCCOCOFFEE2USD/USDTAI Insight
● Neutral
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Traders are preparing to deliver large volumes of Brazilian Arabica coffee to ICE exchange warehouses to rebuild certified inventories that have fallen to a 26-year low. Olam and Louis Dreyfus Company are seeking to certify up to 200,000 bags for delivery against the December futures contract, with shipments to Antwerp, Belgium, rising. Although the 2026/27 season is forecast to be in surplus, ICE stocks remain well below normal levels and Brazil’s harvest has been delayed by extreme weather, keeping futures prices around $3 per pound.
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