India’s grain buffer tops norms on July 1, 2026, offering a cushion as global food risks rise
India’s wheat inventories as of July 1 were up about 46% from a year earlier, with rice stocks also ample. The 2025-26 wheat output forecast was raised to 1.207 billion tonnes, nearly 10% higher than the previous year. Government procurement also strengthened, with 2026-27 purchases reaching about 33.80 million tonnes by June 15, above the year-ago pace. The government plans to release reserves via open-market sales to steady domestic food prices and curb inflation.