When could petrol and diesel prices fall? India's oil minister links cuts to a sustained drop in Brent

AI Market Summary
India's petroleum minister signaled pump price cuts are possible if Brent holds near current lows for 2–3 months, underscoring a direct linkage between Brent and domestic fuel pricing. Brent around $70/bbl (four-year low) is attributed to improved Red Sea transit and easing geopolitical risk. However, state refiners are still running down higher-cost inventory, potentially slowing near-term demand response despite weaker crude.
Impact level
● Medium
Affected assets
NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDT+1.80%
AI Insight · NCCO1OILBRENT2USD/USDTAI Insight
▼ Bearish
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India's Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri said pump prices for petrol and diesel could be reduced if Brent crude stays near current lows for another two to three months. Brent has slipped to about $70.37 a barrel, a four-year low. The decline has been attributed to the reopening of the Red Sea shipping route, a 14-point memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran, and easing geopolitical tensions. Puri noted that state-run oil marketing companies are still working through crude inventories bought at higher prices in April and May, which is why retail fuel prices have not been cut yet. The minister explicitly tied India's fuel pricing outlook to the direction of Brent crude.