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2026-10-08
1h ago
Bitcoin Price Watch: Analyst Flags $77,000–$79,000 as a Make-or-Break Support Zone
Bitcoin traded in a tight range for an extended period before a fresh wave of risk-off pressure hit the market, dragging BTC down toward the $82,000 area. Traders pointed to activity in U.S. government-linked wallets and renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, which lifted oil above $100 and weighed on global risk appetite—adding to selling pressure and triggering a sharp move lower. With debate growing over whether the slide has further to run, analysts are increasingly focused on levels tied to institutional cost bases. Joao Wedson, CEO of analytics firm Alphractal, said aggregate positioning in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and publicly traded companies suggests a major support band sits near $77,000–$79,000. Wedson cited data showing combined holdings of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and listed companies at 2.57 million BTC, with a large share acquired near the same price region. In his breakdown: - U.S. spot ETFs: 1.29M BTC, average cost $76,909 - Publicly traded companies: 1.28M BTC, average cost $78,834 In total, 2.57M BTC—nearly 13% of circulating supply—was purchased at roughly similar levels, making the $77,000–$79,000 area pivotal for keeping institutional positions in profit. Wedson added that at a BTC price of $83,200, ETF investors show an MVRV of 1.08x with about $8.1 billion in unrealized gains, while publicly traded companies show an MVRV of 1.06x with roughly $5.6 billion in unrealized gains. He also outlined additional cost markers below $83,000: iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) at $81,277, treasury companies at $79,782, Strategy (MSTR) at $75,441, public miners at $69,498, and private companies at $33,789. Looking back to a prior drawdown that took Bitcoin to $58,500, Wedson noted that ETF holders saw average positions fall by around 24%, yet there was no broad capitulation. He argued that holding above $77,000–$79,000 could help contain selling pressure by keeping a large share of institutional investors in the green. A breakdown below that band, he warned, could push roughly 2.57 million BTC of institutional holdings back into losses and intensify market-wide selling. This is not investment advice.
BTC
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1h ago
Bitcoin Slips Toward $83K as Treasury Yields Rise and Dollar Strengthens
Bitcoin hovered in the $83,000–$84,000 range after a steep pullback that tracked higher U.S. Treasury yields, a firmer dollar and renewed pressure across risk assets. $83K emerges as the near-term support level The latest drop pushed BTC back into a zone closely watched by traders. Prices briefly slid to about $82,700—October’s lowest level—alongside renewed bond selling and fresh geopolitical concerns that lifted oil prices. The broader risk-off move triggered more than $700 million in crypto liquidations over the past 24 hours. For now, the $82,500–$83,000 band is serving as the first key support. A decisive break below that area would shift focus to the next psychological level near $80,000, where buyers previously stepped in during earlier pullbacks. A rebound needs $86.5K–$87K To restore a bullish tone, Bitcoin would need to reclaim the $86,500–$87,000 area. After the latest breakdown, that zone is now the first meaningful resistance. A clean move back above it would indicate the dip toward $83K was largely a short-term liquidity-driven event rather than the start of a deeper correction. Despite the daily weakness, Bitcoin’s broader technical setup remains constructive. Earlier this week, the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, forming a "golden cross" often associated with improving longer-term trends. Even so, the signal does not ensure an immediate bounce while macro conditions stay tight. Yields and the dollar remain the main overhang Bitcoin continues to trade like a high-beta risk asset. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield recently touched about 5.36%, while the 30-year yield climbed to its highest level in roughly 24 years. Rising yields increase returns available on lower-risk assets and typically weigh on demand for speculative investments. Dollar strength is adding another headwind. The Federal Reserve is also staying cautious: Governor Christopher Waller said additional rate hikes may still be needed, while noting policymakers have flexibility on the pace.
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1h ago
Whale Alert: 622 BTC Worth $51,428,576 Moved From Coinbase Institutional to an Unknown Wallet
Whale Alert reported that 622 BTC, valued at $51,428,576, was transferred from Coinbase Institutional to an unidentified wallet.
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1h ago
Bitcoin ETF Outflows Reach $485M as BTC Slips Toward $82,000
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a sharp reversal on Wednesday, posting $484.9 million in net outflows after two straight sessions of inflows, according to Farside Investors. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led the day's withdrawals with $207.7 million redeemed. Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) followed at $105.1 million, while ARK 21Shares' ARKB logged $101.7 million in outflows. Bitwise's BITB lost $27.8 million, Grayscale's GBTC shed $39.3 million, and VanEck's HODL posted $3.3 million in redemptions. None of the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs reported positive flows in the session, underscoring a broad risk-off shift in investor positioning. The move wiped out earlier momentum for the week. On Monday, Oct. 5, the funds recorded roughly $89.9 million in net outflows, followed by $118.8 million of inflows on Tuesday. Wednesday's $484.9 million pullback more than erased those gains. While ETF flows don't always translate one-for-one into immediate spot-market selling, sustained redemptions can soften demand for Bitcoin and weigh on sentiment. Bitcoin prices weakened alongside the ETF selling. Over the past 24 hours, BTC fell about 1.8%, sliding from around $85,550 to $83,300 during Wednesday's session, then drifting toward $82,700 early Thursday. The drop came as US Treasury yields climbed, the dollar firmed, and investors reassessed the Federal Reserve's rate outlook. Minutes from the Fed's September meeting showed policymakers remained focused on inflation, with most officials penciling in the possibility of another rate hike before the end of 2026. Technically, immediate support is seen in the $82,000–$83,000 zone. A decisive break below that area could invite additional selling, while a rebound toward $86,500–$87,000 would signal buyers regaining the upper hand.
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BTC
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1h ago
Whale Alert: 622 BTC Worth $51.46M Moved From Coinbase Institutional to Unidentified Wallet
Whale Alert reported a transfer of 622 BTC, valued at $51,461,639, from Coinbase Institutional to an unidentified wallet.
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1h ago
Bitcoin Magazine: Sberbank said to ready Bitcoin and crypto trading rollout to 100M+ customers
JUST IN: Russia's largest bank, Sberbank, is preparing to launch Bitcoin and broader crypto trading for more than 100 million clients.
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1h ago
Glassnode: Bitcoin draws $4.9B in fresh 30-day inflows as gains come largely from existing holders
ChainCatcher reports that on-chain research firm Glassnode said in its latest "The Week Onchain" that roughly $4.9 billion of "new money" entered Bitcoin over the 30 days through Oct. 5, supported by corporate treasury buying, expanding stablecoin supply, and inflows to U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. Over the same period, Bitcoin's realized market cap rose by $12.8 billion, more than double the size of the fresh inflows. Glassnode estimated that new capital contributed less than two-fifths of that increase, with the remainder driven by existing holders realizing gains and selling at higher prices. Glassnode added that similar patterns have appeared in Bitcoin rallies since spot ETFs launched in January 2024, although the capital influx seen during the 2024 and 2025 advances was far larger than current levels. Until inflows pick up again, Glassnode expects price action to depend mainly on existing holders being willing to transact at higher prices. Since Sept. 21, Bitcoin has failed four times to break above $87,000 and was trading near $83,000 at the time of the report, down about 1% for the month. Glassnode also noted that on the day Bitcoin first closed above $85,000 since January, about 86% of coins sent to exchanges came from short-term holders (held less than 155 days) who were in profit, the highest single-day share in the past year. Separately, CryptoQuant data shows that as of Oct. 7, the aggregate cost basis for short-term holders was around $78,250, keeping the cohort in net profit.
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1h ago
Bitcoin Retreats After Brief $85,000 Break as Thin Volume and Profit-Taking Take Hold
Bitcoin is down close to 5% this week, with subdued trading activity and profit-taking undermining efforts to reclaim the $85,000 level. The largest cryptocurrency was trading near $83,100 at the time of writing, extending losses after a brief close above $85,000 on Sunday. That move failed to gain traction. After the break, Bitcoin slipped back below newly placed sell orders, and bids clustered around $85,000 also faded, according to on-chain analysis. Data from Glassnode points to two forces behind the pullback: unusually low participation and a growing wave of recent buyers sitting on unrealized gains. Glassnode said combined Bitcoin trading across spot exchanges and U.S. spot exchange-traded funds averaged roughly $6.8 billion per day in the seven days through Oct. 6. That level ranks below about 90% of trading days since January 2024. The soft activity has persisted even during attempts to clear resistance. Glassnode noted Sunday's close above $85,000 occurred on around half the trading volume of a typical Sunday, and no session since Sept. 22 has posted normal spot volume for its respective day of the week. Selling pressure has also skewed toward short-term holders realizing profits. Glassnode estimated that about 86% of Bitcoin sent to exchanges on Oct. 4 came from short-term holders transferring coins at a profit, the highest share in a year and well above a typical day's level of under 40%. Glassnode defines short-term holders as investors who have held Bitcoin for fewer than 155 days. Transfers to exchanges can precede sales, though they do not confirm the coins were ultimately sold. $81,900 emerges as the next key level The potential supply extends beyond weekend transfers. Separate CryptoQuant data indicates roughly 92% of short-term holders are currently in profit, representing about 3.27 million BTC. Even after this week's slide, only a small share of recent buyers are underwater. The buffer is thinner for the newest entrants. Bitcoin purchased between one week and one month ago carries an average cost basis near $81,900, CryptoQuant said. That figure sits about 1.4% below the current price and could become a key support zone if the decline continues. A break below $81,900 would push a larger portion of those recent buyers into unrealized losses, potentially shifting behavior at a time when Bitcoin is struggling to generate enough demand to clear $85,000. Holding above it would preserve gains for much of that group, while also leaving ample profit that could be taken into any rebound. Liquidity conditions amplify the standoff. With activity depressed, the market may need a stronger surge in spot and ETF buying to absorb supply from profitable holders near resistance. Glassnode also highlighted a gap between fresh capital and Bitcoin's rising market value. It estimated that U.S. spot ETF flows, stablecoin growth and corporate treasury purchases brought about $4.9 billion into the market over the 30 days through Oct. 5, while realized capitalization rose by roughly $12.8 billion. The setup leaves Bitcoin pinned between two nearby thresholds. A move back above $85,000 would test whether demand can absorb profit-taking from recent holders. A slide toward $81,900 would challenge the cost basis of buyers who entered over the past month. How traders react around that level—and whether spot and ETF volumes recover—may determine whether this week's drop remains a failed breakout or turns into a deeper reset in positioning. The post Bitcoin's failed breakout reveals a dangerous mix of thin volume and easy profits appeared first on CryptoSlate.
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2h ago
Ethereum Slides 5% Over the Week as Bitmine Signals an End to ETH Accumulation
Bitmine's chairman said at TOKEN2049 in Singapore that the company still needs to buy roughly 100,000 ETH to reach its target of owning 5% of circulating supply, after which it plans to halt further purchases. Bitmine currently holds about 6.016 million ETH, representing approximately 4.9% of supply. Over the past week, the firm bought around $41 million worth of ETH. In the U.S., spot Ethereum ETFs have logged net outflows for six consecutive sessions. Against this backdrop, ETH fell about 5% on the week, slipping to around $2,500.
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ETH-1.73%
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2h ago
Bitcoin Slips Under $83,000 as Yields Hit 2002 Highs, Brent Stays Above $100, and Spot ETF Flows Turn Negative
Bitcoin hovered around $82,810 on October 8, down about 1.4% over the past 24 hours, as a mix of macro tightening and position unwinds weighed on the market. The move reflects a risk-off backdrop shaped by multidecade-high U.S. Treasury yields and elevated oil prices, with spot ETF outflows and forced liquidation of leveraged longs amplifying the pullback. Market snapshot At 08:47 UTC, Bitcoin traded near $82,810 with a market capitalization of roughly $1.66 trillion, CoinGecko data showed. Ethereum fell about 1.9% to $2,561. Solana slid 3.0% to $114.87, while XRP dropped 3.8% to $1.41. Treasury yields keep risk assets on the defensive The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.3%, its highest level since 2002, and the 30-year yield remains at multidecade highs. Elevated risk-free rates raise the opportunity cost for non-yielding assets such as Bitcoin and can redirect capital toward government debt, setting a tougher macro backdrop for crypto. Brent above $100 adds inflation pressure Brent crude has pushed above $100 a barrel amid Middle East supply concerns. Higher energy costs can reinforce inflation risks and keep central banks hawkish, a combination that typically weighs on risk assets. Oil is an additional pressure point, though the available data do not conclusively show it is the primary driver of today's decline. ETF outflows signal cooler institutional demand U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $90 million in net outflows, largely tied to ARKB and FBTC redemptions, reversing the inflows that helped support Bitcoin's September advance. The softer tone extends across crypto funds more broadly: Ether ETF outflows have now stretched to a sixth consecutive day. Outflows align with cooling demand, though they do not, on their own, confirm broader distribution. Liquidations accelerate the downswing More than $550 million in crypto long positions were liquidated as Bitcoin fell, according to CoinGlass derivatives data. Forced closures added sell pressure on top of the macro move and point to leverage—not just spot selling—as a key contributor. Macro selloff, leverage flush—or both? The balance of evidence suggests both: a macro-driven risk-off leg, intensified by a leveraged-long unwind. The roughly 1.4% daily drop is modest relative to the liquidation total, consistent with a leverage flush rather than outright panic. Sustained upside likely requires stabilization in the macro drivers, particularly yields and oil. What to watch next • 10-year yield: A move back below 5% would ease the macro squeeze. • Brent crude: A drop under $100 would reduce inflation-fear pressure. • ETF flows: A return to net inflows would suggest institutional demand is recovering. • $82,000 level: A daily close below it could open a path toward $80,000. Frequently Asked Questions What is the Bitcoin price today? Bitcoin trades around $82,810, down about 1.4% over the last 24 hours, with a market cap near $1.66 trillion. CoinGecko provides the live figure. Why is Bitcoin down today? Markets are digesting three overlapping pressures: the 10-year Treasury yield above 5.3% (the highest since 2002), Brent crude above $100, and roughly $90 million in spot Bitcoin ETF net outflows, with the move amplified by more than $550 million in long liquidations. How much did Bitcoin fall? Bitcoin declined about 1.4% to $82,810 after slipping below $84,000 the prior day. Ethereum fell 1.9%, Solana 3.0%, and XRP 3.8%. Is Bitcoin below $83,000? Yes. Bitcoin is trading below $83,000 after failing to hold $84,000. The next key area is around $82,000. Are liquidations driving the drop? Over $550 million in long positions were liquidated as Bitcoin slid, consistent with a leverage flush. That does not rule out spot selling as an additional factor. Will Bitcoin go back up? No outcome is certain. A more durable rebound likely requires macro conditions to stabilize—Treasury yields back below 5%, Brent under $100, and ETF flows turning positive. Disclaimer: This article is for information only and is not investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile and you can lose your entire investment. Do your own research before making any financial decision.
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