Bitcoin (BTC) briefly approached $78,000 on Thursday but failed to hold gains as traders weighed softer US growth signals and tighter-policy worries. Derivatives data showed top traders lifting long exposure and trimming shorts, reinforcing attention on a $76,000 support zone. However, ETF outflows and still-neutral funding rates suggest a quick move toward $82,000 may face resistance.

Bitcoin failed to hold gains after being rejected above $82,000 on Thursday, then revisited $76,000 on Monday, contributing to $400 million in bullish-position liquidations over four days. Despite a 7% drop, the article points to three potential supports for a rebound above $80,000: Strategy's $2 billion BTC purchase, rising US bond yields that may favor scarce assets, and the possibility of a US-Iran agreement that could lift risk appetite.

Bitcoin fell below $79,000 on Friday after failing to hold above $82,000 the day before, with its moves closely tracking US small-cap stocks. Analysts point to weak demand for bullish leveraged bets and heightened recession and geopolitics-related uncertainty, while suggesting fixed-income outflows could later redirect liquidity toward BTC in the medium term.

Bitcoin hovered around $80,000 after failing to hold $82,500 on Friday, following $268 million of net outflows from US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs on Thursday. Over the same 24-hour window, $270 million in leveraged long BTC futures were liquidated, while mixed positioning among top traders added to near-term caution.

Bitcoin could trigger a large short squeeze if price climbs 7.5% from about $67,100 to $72,000, a move that would liquidate an estimated $2.5 billion in BTC futures shorts. Bears have added positions since March 25 amid war-driven oil strength and other macro pressures, while a ceasefire or renewed US-listed Bitcoin ETF inflows could help push BTC back toward $72,000.

Bitcoin was rejected near $69,000 on Wednesday and held around $66,000 through the week as oil jumped and risk appetite softened. Private credit fund redemption limits, rising US continuing jobless claims, ETF outflows, and reported miner/corporate sales have added near-term pressure. Traders are watching whether BTC can keep support into the Easter market closure while the $75,000 target remains dependent on improving risk perception.

SOL has pulled back about 11% after being rejected at $93 last Wednesday, repeatedly revisiting the $80 area as traders watch for a potential move toward $75. In March, Solana network fees fell to $18.5 million from $30 million in January alongside DEX volumes sliding to $55.5 billion, while 30-day DApp revenue data still shows a comparatively strong cohort of high-earning apps.

WTI crude climbed to $105 on Monday, its highest level in nearly four years, reviving concerns that Bitcoin could face another sharp pullback. In three prior episodes when WTI moved above $105 (June 12, 2014; March 1, 2022; May 4, 2022), BTC later fell 14%–27% within days or weeks. The pattern is limited to a small sample, and other shocks previously coincided with deeper crypto downturns.

Bitcoin slid to $65,530 on Friday after trading near $71,300 on Thursday, an 8% drop that coincided with broader risk-off moves tied to US economic uncertainty and the Israel-Iran war. Options pricing on Deribit implied a 53% probability that BTC remains under $66,000 by April 24, while $210 million in leveraged long BTC futures was liquidated and the $18.6 billion monthly options expiry left most calls worthless.