Polymarket Odds Show 75% Chance of Trump Tariff Case Loss as Supreme Court Justices Question Legality

The probability of a Trump loss in the Supreme Court tariff case rose to 75% on Polymarket on November 6, up from 61% the previous day, BlockBeats reports. The U.S. Supreme Court held oral arguments Wednesday on the legality of Trump's sweeping reciprocal tariffs, with multiple conservative justices joining liberal justices in questioning their constitutionality. Chief Justice John Roberts said the tariffs constitute taxation on Americans, traditionally a core congressional power, while Trump appointees Neil Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett also raised critical questions about the tariff framework. The Court may announce its decision in December.