On Dec. 13, trader AndrewBTC argued that a potential 25 basis point Bank of Japan rate hike could echo past decisions that preceded Bitcoin drawdowns of about 23%, 26% and nearly 31% in March 2024, July 2024 and January 2025. At the same time, market data shared by trader Ted Pillows showed clustered bids between $88,000 and $90,000 on major exchanges, with lighter selling interest until roughly $93,500. This split view left traders debating whether macro policy shifts will drive another downturn or if strong order book support can cushion price dips.

According to CryptoQuant, bitcoin's recent price rebound has coincided with a sharp decline in exchange deposits and softer selling pressure from large holders. After the Federal Reserve's latest FOMC meeting delivered a 25 basis points rate cut, BTC recovered from $80,000 to a monthly peak of $94,000 while whales and short-term traders realized multi-billion dollar losses.

On 14 December 2025, Twenty One Capital listed on the New York Stock Exchange, holding more than 43,500 BTC worth nearly $4 billion. Its shares nevertheless fell around 20% and traded close to the net value of its Bitcoin reserves, indicating that public markets now expect clear revenue models and cash-flow potential rather than just large BTC treasuries. The weak debut also aligned with broader skepticism toward SPAC structures and cooling sentiment in Bitcoin-linked equities after a pullback in BTC prices.

Into Sunday's weekly close, Bitcoin hovered around $90,000 after days in a narrow range, with traders looking for a decisive move as volatility sits at extreme lows. Possible paths include a dip toward 73.7K–76.5K or a break above 94.6K toward 100K, while some see potential downside extending to the $50K region.

According to the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, BTC's valuation bands for January 1, 2026 map a broad range, with levels from $39,700 up to $439,404 across the model's color zones. At press time Bitcoin traded at $89,257, down more than 1% in 24 hours and up less than 1% week over week, near the 'Accumulate' to 'Still Cheap' thresholds.

On December 14, BTC slipped almost 1% from the prior day but remains up 0.44% over the week. After losing local support at $90,071, a daily close below $90,000 would likely open a test of $88,000–$89,000; at press time Bitcoin traded at $89,298. Broader signals stay bearish, with scope for $88,000 and a midterm correction toward $80,000–$85,000.

Bitcoin is trading sideways after a low‑activity weekend, slipping under the key $90k mark with a decline of more than 1% in the past 24 hours. The price is fluctuating between support at $78,960–$83,130 and resistance at $92,588–$101,570, with analysts suggesting this range could persist through late December and into early January. A decisive move above $93,550 or below $86,000 may signal whether buyers regain control or a deeper corrective phase is starting.

Analysts, including Bitcoin commentator AndrewBTC, caution that a Bank of Japan 25-basis-point hike on December 19 could pressure BTC toward $70,000. His December 13 analysis highlights past declines of 23%, 26%, and 31% after BOJ hikes. Bitget's Ignacio Aguirre warns a stronger yen may trigger carry-trade unwinds.