According to CryptoQuant, bitcoin's recent price rebound has coincided with a sharp decline in exchange deposits and softer selling pressure from large holders. After the Federal Reserve's latest FOMC meeting delivered a 25 basis points rate cut, BTC recovered from $80,000 to a monthly peak of $94,000 while whales and short-term traders realized multi-billion dollar losses.

On 14 December 2025, Twenty One Capital listed on the New York Stock Exchange, holding more than 43,500 BTC worth nearly $4 billion. Its shares nevertheless fell around 20% and traded close to the net value of its Bitcoin reserves, indicating that public markets now expect clear revenue models and cash-flow potential rather than just large BTC treasuries. The weak debut also aligned with broader skepticism toward SPAC structures and cooling sentiment in Bitcoin-linked equities after a pullback in BTC prices.

Into Sunday's weekly close, Bitcoin hovered around $90,000 after days in a narrow range, with traders looking for a decisive move as volatility sits at extreme lows. Possible paths include a dip toward 73.7K–76.5K or a break above 94.6K toward 100K, while some see potential downside extending to the $50K region.

According to the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, BTC's valuation bands for January 1, 2026 map a broad range, with levels from $39,700 up to $439,404 across the model's color zones. At press time Bitcoin traded at $89,257, down more than 1% in 24 hours and up less than 1% week over week, near the 'Accumulate' to 'Still Cheap' thresholds.

On December 14, BTC slipped almost 1% from the prior day but remains up 0.44% over the week. After losing local support at $90,071, a daily close below $90,000 would likely open a test of $88,000–$89,000; at press time Bitcoin traded at $89,298. Broader signals stay bearish, with scope for $88,000 and a midterm correction toward $80,000–$85,000.

Bitcoin is trading sideways after a low‑activity weekend, slipping under the key $90k mark with a decline of more than 1% in the past 24 hours. The price is fluctuating between support at $78,960–$83,130 and resistance at $92,588–$101,570, with analysts suggesting this range could persist through late December and into early January. A decisive move above $93,550 or below $86,000 may signal whether buyers regain control or a deeper corrective phase is starting.

Analysts, including Bitcoin commentator AndrewBTC, caution that a Bank of Japan 25-basis-point hike on December 19 could pressure BTC toward $70,000. His December 13 analysis highlights past declines of 23%, 26%, and 31% after BOJ hikes. Bitget's Ignacio Aguirre warns a stronger yen may trigger carry-trade unwinds.

Bitcoin stayed pinned near the $90,000 support over the weekend, briefly slipping below it late Saturday. On December 13, 2025, Alphractal's Joao Wedson called the zone "critical on-chain support," while other analysts pointed to a bearish consolidation and stress metrics with Relative Unrealized Loss nearing ~10% of market cap. BTC was around $90,300 at the time of writing.