Iran said on June 11 the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, even as President Donald Trump claimed the U.S. had reached a "great deal" with Tehran. Bitcoin traded around $63,400 on June 11 after dropping to $60,914, as markets weighed de-escalation hopes against ongoing disruption in a route that carries about 20% of global energy.

SpaceX is scheduled to start trading on Nasdaq on June 12, 2026, after a $75 billion IPO, and market participants are weighing how the listing could affect crypto sentiment. One view is that more than $5 billion of outflows from bitcoin ETFs helped push BTC below $60,000 as investors sought IPO liquidity, which could later rotate back into crypto. Others warn that record IPOs have often appeared near equity-market peaks, potentially pressuring risk assets, including bitcoin, which has hovered around $63,000 after briefly dipping under $60,000 last week.

Bitcoin has slid nearly 15% since Strategy disclosed on June 1 that it sold 32 BTC between May 26 and May 31 for about $2.5 million, while MSTR shares fell 24% over the same span. Speaking at BTC Prague, chairman Michael Saylor said he tells individuals not to sell Bitcoin but never promised the company would not, adding Strategy has long disclosed it may sell if needed.

JPMorgan says the macro "debasement trade" that previously pushed billions into Bitcoin and gold is unwinding, with the retreat accelerating for BTC. Bitcoin is trading above $63,000 after falling from an October peak above $126,000, while gold ETFs shed $20 billion in the week through June 5 and US spot bitcoin ETFs logged $2.1 billion of outflows in June. A Sygnum CIO argued the flows may reflect cash-and-carry arbitrage being closed rather than broad capitulation.

Bitcoin climbed from $61,100 to above $63,400 on June 11, a roughly 3% move tied to risk-on sentiment after President Trump said the U.S. stepped back from planned Iran strikes and a peace memo could be signed as early as this weekend. The rally came while spot Bitcoin ETFs logged 13 straight sessions of outflows totaling $4.4 billion, with markets also focused on the Federal Reserve's June 16–17 meeting and a 98% probability of a rate hold.

BlackRock moved closer to launching its iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF (ticker: BITA) after filing Form 8-A with the SEC on June 11. The prospectus lists a 0.65% sponsor fee and a seed portfolio that includes 109.96 BTC and 90,901 IBIT shares, with the strategy designed to sell covered calls to seek monthly income. A Bloomberg ETF analyst said the filing often precedes a launch within about a week, placing June 18 as a possible start date, though not guaranteed.

Roughly 35,000 Bitcoin options are set to expire on Friday, June 12, with a notional value near $2.23 billion, while about 175,000 Ethereum options worth around $293 million also roll off. Max pain levels are cited at roughly $67,000 for BTC and $1,750 for ETH, as spot markets remain pressured even with BTC up about 2% to around $63,500.

Bitcoin's recent drop to $59.1K pushed short-term holders into a severe stress phase, with short-term holder whales carrying $16.4 billion in unrealized losses. Bitcoin ETFs have also seen the deepest drawdown on record, with an estimated $10.5 billion leaving since 12 October. Miner indicators worsened too, as the 30-day Puell Multiple slid to 0.74 and Miner Capitulation hit -21%, raising concerns that deteriorating conditions could echo 2022-style equipment shutdowns.