Polymarket odds for Dec. 9 Thailand-Cambodia strike rise to 62% after F-16 action

Polymarket's Dec. 9 market "Will Thailand strike Cambodia?" rose from 37% to 62% within one hour on Dec. 9. Bangkok Post said the Thai Royal Army confirmed an F-16 destroyed a casino used as a drone control station and the air force was targeting rocket bases. Thailand's military said it carried out a "retaliatory" strike after a border clash killed a Thai soldier. The "before Dec. 31" contract jumped from 28% between 8:00 and 10:00 yesterday and settled "Yes", while new Dec. 9 market settles daily and remains unsettled on low trading volume.