HTX Research: Trade Détente and Rate Cut Bets Drive Bullish Crypto Positioning Amid Macro Convergence
Multiple macro events are converging this week in what HTX Research analyst Chloe identifies as potentially the year's most impactful market cycle. A trade "framework" emerged between the U.S. and China during Malaysia's ASEAN summit, including postponement of Chinese rare earth export restrictions and suspension of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, boosting Asia-Pacific equities and risk appetite. Markets anticipate a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut at the October 28-29 meeting amid a data vacuum caused by U.S. government shutdown, with European Central Bank and Bank of Japan rate decisions also due this week. Bitcoin options open interest stands at $63 billion, with 80% on Deribit and major positions clustered at $120,000-$140,000 strike prices, CoinGlass and Deribit data show, signaling bullish sentiment though near-term expiries may trigger volatility.

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