Technical Analysis

Crypto investors are closely watching the US this week. Four key dates will shape interest rates, risk appetite, and price speculation. Bitcoin hovers around important levels, and headlines drive rapid re-pricings. Traders are reacting attentively, while portfolios are actively hedged.

XRP trades near $2.05 after a roughly 1% daily dip and 2% weekly gain. CasiTrades highlights $2.04 support aligned with the macro 0.5 Fibonacci, while resistance sits around $2.1–$2.5. SoSoValue reports over $935 million in US-listed spot ETF inflows, as on‑chain activity and velocity remain elevated.

SPX6900 [SPX] regained upside momentum after a flag retest near $0.600, delivering a 12% daily gain before easing 5.6%. Spot volume climbed 68% to 25.61 million and Open Interest rose 11% to $29.2 million, reinforcing the case for a test of the psychological $1 level.

Bitcoin (BTC) swung to new all-time highs in 2025 before retracing as much as 30%, fueling debate over whether a bear phase has already played out. Market analyst Shanaka Anslem argues the cycle inverted when BTC topped its prior peak before the April Halving and characterizes 2024 as "political repricing," according to a post on X. He sees 2025 displaying bear-market traits and a path to $150,000–$200,000 in 2026, while other analysts caution prices could still slip toward $54,000–$60,000.

Solana rebounded from recent weakness, holding above the $130 support and gaining nearly 5% over the past 24 hours as trading volume climbed to about $5 billion. Analysts say a potential cup-and-handle is forming on the weekly chart, while SOL continues to trade within a $124–$145 range. Key resistance is seen around $150–$156, with derivatives open interest remaining above $7 billion.

Santiment said Monday that a net 403,200 BTC—about 2.1% of total supply—has left centralized exchanges over the past year, even as Bitcoin trades below $90,000. Glassnode data show that only 14.7% of Bitcoin’s supply now sits on exchanges. Analysts point to mixed technical signals and a possible price floor between $74,000 and $77,000.

Dogecoin attempted a recovery toward the $0.1450 resistance level but failed to break higher, with bulls now defending support at $0.140 and $0.1350. The price remains above the 100-hourly simple moving average, and a close above $0.1530 is needed to confirm a stronger bullish extension toward $0.1620.

Large XRP holders cut balances over the past week, offloading 510 million coins as whale supply has declined since mid-November. Whales are addresses holding 1 million to 10 million tokens, a band worth roughly $2 million to $20 million at the current exchange rate. XRP rebounded to $2.09 after a retest of $2.00.

XRP has bounced from support above $2.020 and is trading over $2.050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average while facing resistance near $2.0850 and $2.10. A close above $2.120 could see the price revisit $2.160 and potentially the $2.20–$2.2650 area. Failure to clear $2.10 may instead trigger another decline toward $1.950 and even $1.850. Technical indicators show the MACD in negative territory and the hourly RSI below 50, pointing to persistent downside pressure at resistance.

Ethereum has extended gains above $3,020 and $3,050 and is consolidating over $3,075 along with the 100-hour simple moving average, according to the analysis. A clear move above $3,180 and $3,220 could open upside toward $3,350, with $3,450-$3,500 next, while failure keeps the focus on $3,080, $3,015 and $2,975 on the downside. Sellers were active below $3,200, and the RSI has slipped under 50 as the MACD shows fading upside momentum.